Week 6 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

Five weeks of football are behind us, and we are now officially at the midway point in most fantasy football regular seasons.

Bye weeks and injuries are piling up, and we are in crunch time for fantasy owners who want to take a step up in the second half of their fantasy seasons.

Options on the waiver wire are becoming more and more limited, so owners need to rely more heavily on making the right decisions about who is on their roster.

Here are my Week 6 fantasy football rankings for every position.

Quarterback

  Player, Team Opp. Comp. Pass Yds Pass TDs INTs Rush Yds
1 Peyton Manning, DEN JAX 30 425 5
2 Drew Brees, NO NE 26 303 4 0
3 Aaron Rodgers, GB BAL 25 319 3 0 20
4 Tony Romo, DAL WAS 26 310 7
5 Andrew Luck, IND SD 24 301  23
6 Philip Rivers, SD IND 25 310 0
7 Matthew Stafford, DET CLE 24 314  1 0
8 Jay Cutler, CHI NYG 22 297 2 0 9
9 Tom Brady, NE NO 25 288 3 2
10 Robert Griffin II, WAS DAL 21 247  0 25
11 Alex Smith, KC OAK 26 265  0 10
12 Cam Newton, CAR MIN 17  225 42
13 Colin Kaepernick, SF ARI 21 215  2 1 31
14 Terrelle Pryor, OAK KC 19 196  1 47
15 Geno Smith, NYJ PIT 20 231  2 12

The Denver-Jacksonville game is going to be an embarrassing blowout. I think a potential issue for the Broncos offense will be that they get ahead so big so early that they don’t end up putting up numbers that are as crazy as they could be. But it’ll still be big.

There should be no doubts about who is the best quarterback from the talented 2012 class. Luck has separated himself from the pack and has put up good numbers each week this season, including in a huge victory over Seattle last week. The game against San Diego could turn into a shootout, which is good for Luck’s fantasy prospects.

If Brady has Danny Amendola and Rob Gronkowski on the field, then he could make the Patriots look like their old selves on offense. He’ll have to throw a lot to keep up with Drew Brees, so a big game could be in the works.

Running Back

  Player, Team Opp. Rush Yds
Rec. Rec. Yds
Total TDs
1 Adrian Peterson, MIN CAR  133 34 2
2 Jamaal Charles, KC OAK  103 6 50  2
3 Matt Forte, CHI NYG  88 89 2
4 Arian Foster, HOU STL  114 3 34 1
5 LeSean McCoy, PHI TB  100 4 39 1
6 DeMarco Murray, DAL WAS 97 5 43 1
7 Marshawn Lynch, SEA TEN 112 0 0
8 Knowshon Moreno, DEN JAX 94 2 10
9 Doug Martin, TB PHI 88 3 17
10 Trent Richardson, IND SD 86 1 5 1
11 Ray Rice, BAL GB 72 4 48 1
12 Reggie Bush, DET CLE 57 6 57 1
13 Alfred Morris, WAS DAL 87 0 0 0
14 Frank Gore, SF ARI 77 0 0
15 C.J. Spiller, BUF CIN 61 3 30
16 Fred Jackson, BUF CIN 45 2 19 1
17  Danny Woodhead, SD IND 32 5 61 0
18  Darren Sproles, NO NE 43 6 53 0
19  Pierre Thomas, NO NE 41 0 0 1
20  DeAngelo Williams, CAR MIN 57 2 17 0

Foster has put in two big games in a row now and looks to be back to his usual form. St. Louis’ defense is nothing special, and Foster will be relied on pretty heavily to carry Houston’s offense.

Martin has been one of the biggest victims in Tampa Bay’s free fall, but with things a little more settled after a bye week, expect him to start putting up better numbers. His talent is there, he just needs better opportunities.

After hobbling through the first few weeks of the season, Rice finally had a good game against Miami in Week 5 and seems to be fully healthy again. Baltimore’s offense is still pretty bad, but having their top talent healthy will be huge.

Wide Receiver

  Player, Team Opp. Rec. Rec. Yds Rec. TDs
1 Dez Bryant, DAL WAS   7 123
2 Demaryius Thomas, DEN JAX   6 106  2
3 Calvin Johnson, DET
CLE   7 115 
4 Wes Welker, DEN JAX   9 108 0
5 Brandon Marshall, CHI NYG   7 100 
6 A.J. Green, CIN
BUF   6 105
7 Eric Decker, DEN JAX  7 99
8 Victor Cruz, NYG
CHI   5 111 
9 Andre Johnson, HOU STL   6 94
10 Pierre Garcon, WAS DAL   5 96
11 DeSean Jackson, PHI
TB   4 99 
12 Reggie Wayne, IND SD   6 93
13 Jordy Nelson, GB
BAL   5 95 1
14 Josh Gordon, CLE DET   6 90  1
15 Antonio Brown, PIT NYJ   6 89
16 Justin Blackmon, JAX DEN   7 77 
17  Danny Amendola, NE NO   6 84 
18  Torrey Smith, BAL GB   5 83 
19 Hakeem Nicks, NYG CHI   6 78
20 Vincent Jackson, TB PHI   5 73
21 Cecil Shorts, JAX DEN   6 73 
22 Steve Smith, CAR MIN   4 77 
23 Marques Colston, NO NE   6 64 
24 Alshon Jeffery, CHI NYG  6 62
25 T.Y. Hilton, IND SD  3 68 
26  Larry Fitzgerald, ARI SF  4 62 
27 James Jones, GB BAL   5 58 
28 Vincent Brown, SD IND   4 60 
29 Dwayne Bowe, KC OAK   5 55
30 Keenan Allen, SD IND   5 54

Dez has fully established himself as one of, if not the premier receiver in the NFL this year, even threatening Calvin Johnson’s position at the top of the league during a down year for Megatron. Bryant can do it all and should dominate Washington’s secondary this week.

Decker has quietly taken a back seat to Demaryius Thomas and Wes Welker, but he’s been ultra-productive this year, and there will be plenty of stats to go around against lowly Jacksonville.

After two insanely monster performances, expect Jeffery to receive special attention this week from New York’s secondary. He’ll come back down to earth but still put up respectable numbers.

Allen was one of my favorite rookie receivers from this class before the draft, and he’s now getting a chance to shine on the outside for San Diego. He’s a great waiver-wire pickup.

Tight End

  Player, Team Opp. Rec. Rec. Yds. Rec. TDs
1 Jimmy Graham, NO
NE   7 125
2 Rob Gronkowski, NE NO   8 102 
3 Jason Witten, DAL WAS   6 106
4 Jordan Cameron, CLE DET   5 95
5 Martellus Bennett, CHI NYG   6 90
6 Garrett Graham, HOU STL   7 81
7 Julius Thomas, DEN JAX   4 54 1
8 Antonio Gates, SD IND   6 86 
9 Greg Olsen, CAR MIN  6 80 
10 Brandon Myers, NYG CHI  6 77 
11 Vernon Davis, SF ARI   4 79 
12 Coby Fleener, IND SD   6 68
13 Jermichael Finley, GB BAL  6 65 
14 Heath Miller, PIT NYJ   5 59
15 Sean McGrath, KC OAK   5 57  0

I was wrong about him last week, but Gronkowski is finally expected to play in Week 6, per USA Today. Tom Brady will love having Gronk back. Expect a big week right off the bat.

With Owen Daniels out for at least a few weeks, Graham steps in for Houston as the go-to tight end. He’s an athletic pass-catcher who should see his share of targets from Matt Schaub.

Kicker

  Player, Team Opp. Makes 40+ XP
1 Nick Novak, SD IND  4  2  3
2 Stephen Gostkowski, NE NO  3  2 4
3 Justin Tucker, BAL GB   4  1
4 Dan Bailey, DAL WAS  2  2 3
5 Blair Walsh, MIN CAR   3  1 2
6 Garrett Hartley, NO NE  3  0 3
7 Greg Zuerlein, STL HOU  3  0 2
8 Alex Henery, PHI TB   2  1 3
9 Mason Crosby, GB BAL   2  1 2
10 Matt Prater, DEN JAX   1  0 5

After an impressive rookie year, Walsh has followed it up with a great rookie season. His leg is one of the most powerful in the league, as he has blasted two 50+ yard field goals already this year. The fact that Minnesota’s defense has struggled to capitalize and score touchdowns also adds to his value.

The fact that Jacksonville’s defense is so bad is actually what keeps Prater lower than usual this week. The Broncos offense will likely score more often than not, and so his leg won’t be needed.

Defense

  Team Opp. Points Allowed Sacks Turnovers
1 Chicago NYG  9  3  4
2 Denver JAX  6  3  2
3 Cincinnati  BUF  13  4  2
4 Seattle TEN  14  3  2
5 Kansas City OAK  13  3  1
6 San Francisco ARI  16  3  1
7 Arizona SF  20  3  2
8 Minnesota CAR  21  1  2
9 New York Jets PIT  20  2  1
10 Detroit CLE  17  1  2

Cincinnati will be licking its chops getting to face a Buffalo team whose offense has been sputtering so far this season. Thad Lewis is starting under center in Week 6 (seriously), and C.J. Spiller and Stevie Johnson have not been threats so far this year.

Coming off of a monstrous Monday night victory over Atlanta, New York will be riding high coming into their matchup with the suddenly woeful, winless Steelers. Maybe Mike Wallace was more important to that offense than they thought.

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