Nine up and nine down. That’s how the Kansas City Chiefs‘ season has gone. They haven’t played a difficult schedule, but winning is winning. Their schedule is about to get more treacherous. Is it time to bail?
When they come out of their bye the Chiefs face the Denver Broncos in two of their next three games. The Broncos are averaging NFL-bests 466.4 yards per game and 42.9 points per game. Peyton Manning has been sacked just 11 times.; that’s just 1.4 times per game.
The only saving grace for defensive units is the Broncos’ turnovers. They are tied for third-most in the NFL with 17, thanks to a league-high 11 lost fumbles. Regardless, a couple of turnovers per game isn’t making up for the damage their explosive offense brings to the table.
The Chiefs also have a pair of games against the San Diego Chargers. Granted, one is in Week 17 when most leagues are wrapped up. The Chargers enter Week 10 ranked sixth in total offense with 403.8 yards per game.
They aren’t punching it in at a particularly high clip, ranking 15th with 24 points per game, but they are protecting Philip Rivers (12 sacks allowed) and the football (12 turnovers).
In Week 14 the Chiefs face the Washington Redskins. The Skins are fifth in the league in total offense with 407.6 yards per game and 12th in scoring with 25.4 points per game. The Redskins have only allowed 14 sacks, though they do have 16 turnovers.
In Week 16 Kansas City takes on the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts rank 19th in total offense with 340.9 yards per game, but eight in scoring offense with 26.8 points per game. Only seven teams have allowed fewer than the 19 sacks the Colts have allowed. Nobody is protecting the football like they do. Indianapolis has just six turnovers.
The only favorable matchup on the Chiefs’ schedule is Week 15 against the Oakland Raiders. Oakland ranks 14th in total offense with 345.5 yards per game and 28th in scoring offense with 18.3 points per game. Kansas City held them to 274 total yards and seven points in Week 6.
That day the Chiefs tallied nine of the 32 sacks and three of the 14 turnovers that the Raiders have on the year.
I wouldn’t just drop them though. The Chiefs have too much value. They rank eighth in total defense (326.9 yards per game allowed), first in scoring defense (12.3 points per game allowed), first in sacks (36) and first in takeaways (23). They also have seven return touchdowns.
You may hesitate to play them going forward, particularly against the Broncos, but they’ll still be a starting-caliber fantasy defenses in the other five games.
One thing you could try to do is trade them. Package them with a player to upgrade another area of your fantasy team. Just don’t drop them outright.
Also check out Lester’s Legends Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings.